16 August 2012

Kenanga Research - Maintain OUTPERFORM @ RM1.49.


Kenanga Research's paper on CREST BUILDER. =)

Actual vs Expectations

The 1H12 core net profit of RM9.5m exceeded expectations slightly, making up 56% of our FY12E core earnings of RM17.1m on the back of higher than expected construction contributions.

Dividends

None as Expected

Key Results Highlights
  • YoY, the 1H12 core earnings grew 258% after stripping out 1H11 one-off gains (prepaid land gains on disposal of RM19m). Growth was also driven by 1H12 construction revenue, which rose 52% YoY against a slight margin compression of -0.8ppt in operating margins to 3.8%. The key ongoing contracts are Menara Binjai, Verticas, UniTapah. This helped to mitigate softer 1H12 property development operating profit (-19% YoY) as the group is focusing on completing its Alam Idaman project, which is near completion/completed.
  • QoQ, a higher finance cost (+13% QoQ) eroded the impact of the revenue increase of 15% to RM155.5m, resulting in 2Q12 net profit sliding by 8% to RM4.6m.
Outlook

CBH will be looking to roll out its Dang Wangi project in 2H13. We also expect CBH to firm its JV project to develop the Lembaga Getah Malaysia (MRB) site (GDV: RM1.33b). Since UniTapah concession earnings will commence in FY14E, we expect the group to work towards ring-fencing the concession to allow for better net gearing levels. Currently, the net gearing has improved to 0.79x from last quarter’s 0.84x.

Rating

Maintain OUTPERFORM 

CBH is at its inflection point for a re-rating as it moves from its traditional construction business into the property development scene while riding on the ETP play with Dang Wangi and MRB.

Valuation

Maintaining TP of RM1.49 based on a 10% ‘holding company’ discount to our FD SoP of RM1.67, inclusive of a 55% discount on property.

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